Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-02-25, First Union Spectrum were:
Guyute (3, 17.7 shows)
Pebbles and Marbles (3, 23.4 shows)
Anything But Me (3, 60.5 shows)
Seven Below (3, 14.5 shows)
Character Zero (3, 4.5 shows)
Carini (3, 5.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 10.1 shows)
Divided Sky (2, 7.2 shows)
Rift (2, 7.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (2, 11 shows)
Runaway Jim (2, 8.1 shows)
Fast Enough for You (2, 34.6 shows)
Taste (2, 13.4 shows)
It's Ice (2, 15.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (2, 8.6 shows)
Round Room (2, 103.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 9.3 shows)
Stash (2, 5.9 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 15.4 shows)
46 Days (2, 4.8 shows)
Simple (2, 7.7 shows)
Thunderhead (2, 103.7 shows)
Mexican Cousin (2, 48.4 shows)
Tweezer (2, 4.8 shows)
Horn (2, 14.2 shows)
NICU (2, 9.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (2, 6.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (2, 21.4 shows)
Llama (2, 18.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (2, 4.7 shows)
Mound (1, 25 shows)
Auld Lang Syne (1, 42.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (1, 13.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (1, 12.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (1, 10.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.