Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-02-15, Thomas & Mack Center were:
Character Zero (2, 4.5 shows)
Guyute (1, 17.7 shows)
NICU (1, 9.7 shows)
Horn (1, 14.2 shows)
Wilson (1, 6.8 shows)
Mound (1, 25 shows)
The Squirming Coil (1, 11 shows)
David Bowie (1, 5.9 shows)
Waves (1, 13.2 shows)
Divided Sky (1, 7.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (1, 10.1 shows)
Rift (1, 7.8 shows)
Harry Hood (1, 4.1 shows)
Piper (1, 5.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (1, 6.6 shows)
Seven Below (1, 14.5 shows)
Auld Lang Syne (1, 42.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (1, 8.2 shows)
Time Loves a Hero (1, 181.5 shows)
Strange Design (1, 30.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (1, 10.5 shows)
It's Ice (1, 15.4 shows)
Back on the Train (1, 5.9 shows)
Round Room (1, 103.7 shows)
The Horse (1, 15.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (1, 12.1 shows)
Stash (1, 5.9 shows)
Water in the Sky (1, 15.4 shows)
46 Days (1, 4.8 shows)
Simple (1, 7.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (1, 10.2 shows)
Thunderhead (1, 103.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (1, 4.8 shows)
Cavern (1, 6 shows)
Mexican Cousin (1, 48.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.