Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-10-07, Shoreline Amphitheatre were:
First Tube (27, 6.3 shows)
Back on the Train (23, 5.5 shows)
Twist (19, 5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (15, 6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (15, 4.9 shows)
Farmhouse (14, 12.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 5 shows)
Mike's Song (14, 5.1 shows)
Dirt (13, 17.3 shows)
When the Circus Comes (12, 17.7 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (12, 27.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (11, 12.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.9 shows)
Simple (11, 7.6 shows)
My Soul (11, 17 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 9.1 shows)
Roggae (11, 10.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (11, 10.4 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.9 shows)
Ghost (10, 4.8 shows)
Taste (10, 12.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 10 shows)
Runaway Jim (10, 8.1 shows)
Tweezer (10, 4.9 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 12.5 shows)
Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (9, 8.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.7 shows)
Free (9, 5.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10 shows)
Driver (8, 29.6 shows)
Jam (8, 66.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.4 shows)
Sparkle (8, 14 shows)
Meatstick (8, 13.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 7.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 69% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.