Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-09-27, Fiddler's Green were:
Heavy Things (31, 8.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (20, 7.7 shows)
Twist (19, 5 shows)
Sand (18, 5.4 shows)
Possum (16, 4.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (16, 4.7 shows)
Farmhouse (15, 12 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (15, 6 shows)
Guyute (15, 14.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (15, 4.9 shows)
Dirt (14, 16.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 8.3 shows)
The Inlaw Josie Wales (13, 53.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 10.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (13, 4.5 shows)
Loving Cup (12, 8.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (12, 17.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (11, 8 shows)
My Soul (11, 16.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (11, 7.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (11, 9.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (11, 5.4 shows)
Simple (10, 7.7 shows)
Tube (10, 5.9 shows)
Ghost (10, 4.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.7 shows)
Taste (10, 12.4 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.5 shows)
Cavern (9, 6.1 shows)
Maze (9, 7 shows)
Horn (9, 13 shows)
Poor Heart (8, 14.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 9.3 shows)
Meat (8, 23 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.