Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-09-12, Tweeter Center were:
Heavy Things (32, 8.2 shows)
First Tube (29, 6.1 shows)
Back on the Train (26, 5.4 shows)
Down with Disease (22, 4.2 shows)
Farmhouse (20, 11.3 shows)
Bug (20, 8.8 shows)
Mike's Song (16, 5 shows)
Dirt (16, 16 shows)
The Squirming Coil (15, 10 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.6 shows)
Loving Cup (14, 8.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 4.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 4.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (13, 9.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (13, 7.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (13, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer (12, 4.9 shows)
The Inlaw Josie Wales (12, 54.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 9.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (11, 12 shows)
Tube (11, 5.8 shows)
Simple (11, 7.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (11, 17.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.6 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 7.6 shows)
My Soul (10, 17 shows)
Free (9, 5.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (9, 6.6 shows)
Meatstick (9, 12.8 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 9.3 shows)
Sparkle (8, 13.8 shows)
Meat (8, 22.7 shows)
Poor Heart (8, 14.6 shows)
Julius (8, 7.7 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 22.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 65% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.