Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-09-22, Pan American Center were:
Chalk Dust Torture (21, 3.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (19, 4.5 shows)
Roggae (19, 8.8 shows)
Ghost (17, 4.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (17, 5.6 shows)
Piper (16, 4.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (15, 4.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 4.9 shows)
David Bowie (13, 5.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7.2 shows)
Possum (13, 4.3 shows)
Simple (13, 7.2 shows)
Mike's Song (12, 4.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (11, 10.7 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (11, 25 shows)
Driver (11, 22.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (10, 7.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.3 shows)
Axilla (10, 11.5 shows)
Taste (9, 11.2 shows)
My Soul (9, 15.1 shows)
Frankie Says (9, 33.7 shows)
Sleep (9, 48.6 shows)
Jam (9, 43.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.9 shows)
Sparkle (8, 13.1 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 14.3 shows)
When the Circus Comes (8, 15.9 shows)
Billy Breathes (7, 31.3 shows)
Meat (7, 19.9 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.5 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 33.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Gumbo (7, 12.2 shows)
Llama (7, 16.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.