Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-09-16, Shoreline Amphitheatre were:
The Moma Dance (18, 4.5 shows)
Piper (15, 4.8 shows)
Character Zero (15, 4.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 4.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 7.7 shows)
Cavern (12, 5.9 shows)
David Bowie (12, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
Stash (11, 5.9 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 4.9 shows)
Driver (11, 22.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (11, 25 shows)
Brian and Robert (10, 19.9 shows)
Axilla (10, 11.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.8 shows)
Sleep (9, 48.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (9, 4.8 shows)
My Soul (9, 15.1 shows)
Reba (9, 7.7 shows)
NICU (9, 8.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.6 shows)
Wilson (9, 6.7 shows)
Jam (8, 43.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 9.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (7, 14.3 shows)
Julius (7, 7.6 shows)
Llama (7, 16.2 shows)
Sparkle (7, 13.1 shows)
Meat (7, 19.9 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.5 shows)
Horn (7, 12.3 shows)
Albuquerque (6, 62.5 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (6, 33.7 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 8.8 shows)
Carini (6, 6.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.