Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-07-24, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Roggae (23, 8.3 shows)
Piper (17, 4.8 shows)
Down with Disease (15, 4.1 shows)
Character Zero (15, 4.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (14, 22.8 shows)
Farmhouse (13, 10.1 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (13, 4.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (13, 9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (12, 4.7 shows)
Reba (12, 7.6 shows)
Cavern (12, 5.9 shows)
Driver (11, 22.8 shows)
Frankie Says (11, 30.7 shows)
Tube (10, 5.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 4.9 shows)
Tweezer (10, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.8 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 8.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (10, 13.9 shows)
Stash (10, 5.9 shows)
Maze (9, 6.9 shows)
Albuquerque (9, 52.4 shows)
My Soul (9, 15.1 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 7.7 shows)
Sparkle (8, 12.9 shows)
Sleep (8, 49.5 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
Meat (8, 19.4 shows)
The Wedge (7, 7.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Gumbo (7, 12 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 20.7 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 30.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 24% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.