Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-07-18, Oswego County Airport were:
The Moma Dance (21, 4.4 shows)
Piper (17, 4.8 shows)
Possum (15, 4.3 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (15, 22.4 shows)
David Bowie (13, 5.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (13, 9 shows)
Frankie Says (12, 29.8 shows)
Reba (11, 7.6 shows)
Stash (11, 5.9 shows)
Driver (11, 22.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (11, 7.2 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (10, 13.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 4.9 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.8 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 15.2 shows)
Albuquerque (9, 52.6 shows)
NICU (9, 8.9 shows)
My Soul (9, 14.9 shows)
Sleep (8, 49.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 9.8 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 47.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 7.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.6 shows)
Meat (8, 19.5 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
The Wedge (7, 7.9 shows)
Free (7, 5.2 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.6 shows)
Gumbo (7, 12.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 7.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.3 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 19.5 shows)
Llama (6, 16.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.