Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-07-09, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
Roggae (25, 8.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (22, 4.4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (18, 3.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (17, 6.8 shows)
Piper (17, 4.8 shows)
Brian and Robert (14, 17.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.1 shows)
Frankie Says (12, 30 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.8 shows)
Reba (11, 7.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 7.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (10, 10.3 shows)
Driver (10, 23.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.9 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.7 shows)
Water in the Sky (9, 13.6 shows)
Albuquerque (9, 52.9 shows)
Meat (9, 19.1 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 15 shows)
NICU (9, 8.8 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 47.3 shows)
Gumbo (8, 12 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 9.6 shows)
Free (7, 5.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 29 shows)
Taste (7, 11.2 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 7.8 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 8.6 shows)
Frankenstein (6, 20.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 19.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.