Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-11-29, Worcester Centrum Centre were:
Ghost (23, 4.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (21, 6.7 shows)
Harry Hood (19, 4.1 shows)
Character Zero (18, 4.4 shows)
Simple (17, 7 shows)
Possum (16, 4.4 shows)
Stash (16, 5.8 shows)
Brian and Robert (15, 17.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (14, 23.1 shows)
NICU (13, 8.6 shows)
Frankie Says (13, 28.9 shows)
Water in the Sky (12, 13.2 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (12, 25 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5 shows)
Lawn Boy (10, 9.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.2 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (10, 28 shows)
Taste (10, 10.9 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.7 shows)
Jam (10, 31.9 shows)
Maze (10, 6.9 shows)
Rocky Top (9, 21.5 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.3 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 20.1 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 10.4 shows)
Sparkle (8, 12.7 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 48.7 shows)
Train Song (8, 25 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 8.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.3 shows)
Dirt (7, 15.4 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 9.6 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (7, 20.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.