Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-11-04, McNichols Arena were:
Harry Hood (19, 4.1 shows)
Guyute (18, 9.6 shows)
Character Zero (17, 4.4 shows)
My Soul (16, 12.8 shows)
Loving Cup (16, 7.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (16, 7 shows)
Simple (15, 6.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (15, 5.2 shows)
David Bowie (14, 5.6 shows)
Possum (14, 4.4 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (13, 24 shows)
Julius (12, 7.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (11, 13.2 shows)
Taste (11, 10.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (11, 7.2 shows)
Reba (11, 7.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (11, 17.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Maze (10, 6.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.2 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 11.3 shows)
Train Song (10, 23.4 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 14.4 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (9, 26.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 7.7 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.1 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (8, 23.4 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 21.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.7 shows)
Sparkle (8, 12.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.5 shows)
Gumbo (7, 12 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 19.9 shows)
Izabella (7, 55.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.