Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-10-15, The Fillmore were:
My Soul (15, 12.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (14, 5.5 shows)
Stash (13, 5.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (12, 7.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.5 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (11, 7.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
Julius (11, 7.5 shows)
Taste (10, 10.5 shows)
Train Song (10, 23.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.2 shows)
Maze (10, 6.9 shows)
Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
Sparkle (8, 12.7 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 21.6 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 135.6 shows)
Izabella (7, 52.7 shows)
Dirt (7, 15.3 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 20.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 19.4 shows)
Axilla (6, 11.6 shows)
Meat (6, 18.6 shows)
Drowned (6, 21.6 shows)
Bold As Love (6, 28.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 7.9 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 18.6 shows)
Waste (6, 12.3 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (6, 20.6 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (5, 27.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 9.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (5, 15.3 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (5, 18.3 shows)
Fee (5, 25 shows)
Twist (5, 5.3 shows)
Roses Are Free (5, 17.9 shows)
McGrupp and the Watchful Hosemasters (5, 33.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 20% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.