Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-08-06, Lakewood Amphitheatre were:
Down with Disease (16, 4.1 shows)
My Soul (16, 12.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 9.5 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (14, 7.1 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (13, 23.3 shows)
Simple (13, 6.9 shows)
Stash (13, 5.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (13, 5.5 shows)
Taste (13, 10.3 shows)
Water in the Sky (12, 12.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (11, 7.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5.6 shows)
Rocky Top (11, 20.4 shows)
Train Song (11, 22.8 shows)
Julius (11, 7.5 shows)
Maze (11, 6.8 shows)
Jam (10, 30.9 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 11.1 shows)
NICU (10, 8.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Dirt (10, 14.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (9, 18.8 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.4 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (9, 25.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.5 shows)
Cities (8, 11 shows)
Cavern (8, 6 shows)
Izabella (8, 50.4 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 136.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 7.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 18.1 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 14.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 7.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 36% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.