Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-08-02, Deer Creek Music Center were:
Ghost (19, 4.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (17, 6.6 shows)
My Soul (17, 12.5 shows)
Harry Hood (17, 4.1 shows)
Character Zero (16, 4.4 shows)
Down with Disease (16, 4.2 shows)
Simple (14, 6.9 shows)
Taste (14, 10.2 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (14, 22.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (14, 5.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 7 shows)
Loving Cup (14, 7.7 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (14, 7.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (12, 7.1 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.5 shows)
Dirt (11, 14.5 shows)
Train Song (11, 22.8 shows)
NICU (11, 8.5 shows)
Rocky Top (11, 20.4 shows)
Maze (11, 6.9 shows)
Jam (10, 30.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 4.5 shows)
David Bowie (10, 5.6 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.5 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (9, 25.2 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 14.3 shows)
Scent of a Mule (9, 18.8 shows)
Possum (8, 4.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 7.7 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (8, 24.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 18.1 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 137 shows)
Reba (7, 7.7 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (6, 36.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.