Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-07-29, Riverport Amphitheater were:
Ghost (21, 4.5 shows)
My Soul (18, 12.3 shows)
Character Zero (17, 4.4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (16, 3.8 shows)
Loving Cup (15, 7.7 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (15, 7.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (14, 5.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.5 shows)
Stash (14, 5.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 4.8 shows)
Mike's Song (14, 4.9 shows)
Taste (14, 10.2 shows)
Water in the Sky (13, 12.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (13, 7.1 shows)
NICU (12, 8.4 shows)
Dirt (12, 14.4 shows)
Rocky Top (11, 20.5 shows)
Train Song (11, 22.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5.6 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (10, 24.7 shows)
Jam (10, 31 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (9, 18.9 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (9, 24.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.4 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (8, 34.4 shows)
Cities (8, 10.9 shows)
Possum (8, 4.5 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 137.4 shows)
Izabella (7, 50.6 shows)
McGrupp and the Watchful Hosemasters (7, 32.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 18.2 shows)
Tube (7, 5.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Cavern (7, 6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 11% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.