Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-07-26, Starplex Amphitheatre were:
Theme from the Bottom (16, 7 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (14, 9.4 shows)
Dirt (13, 14.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (13, 5.4 shows)
Water in the Sky (13, 12.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
NICU (12, 8.4 shows)
Train Song (11, 22.9 shows)
Maze (11, 6.8 shows)
David Bowie (11, 5.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (10, 24.7 shows)
Jam (10, 31.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.4 shows)
Possum (9, 4.4 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (9, 24.1 shows)
Cities (8, 10.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (8, 6.8 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (8, 34.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 18.2 shows)
Twist (7, 5.3 shows)
Izabella (7, 50.7 shows)
McGrupp and the Watchful Hosemasters (7, 32.1 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 137.6 shows)
Gumbo (7, 11.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 9.6 shows)
Reba (6, 7.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.4 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (6, 15.3 shows)
Billy Breathes (5, 28.3 shows)
Vultures (5, 21.9 shows)
My Mind's Got a Mind of its Own (5, 50.7 shows)
Steep (5, 64.2 shows)
Poor Heart (5, 14.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.