Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-07-16, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
Ghost (23, 4.4 shows)
Character Zero (17, 4.3 shows)
My Soul (17, 12.3 shows)
Dirt (15, 13.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (14, 4.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (14, 5.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (14, 9.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (14, 7 shows)
Stash (14, 5.7 shows)
Piper (13, 4.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (12, 5.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 7.1 shows)
David Bowie (12, 5.6 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (12, 23.6 shows)
Train Song (11, 23 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5 shows)
Maze (11, 6.8 shows)
Julius (11, 7.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.6 shows)
Rocky Top (10, 20.2 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 10.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Possum (9, 4.4 shows)
Cities (8, 11 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 19 shows)
Billy Breathes (7, 26.9 shows)
Twist (7, 5.3 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (7, 15.1 shows)
Cavern (7, 6 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 138.3 shows)
Vultures (6, 21.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 17.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 7.6 shows)
McGrupp and the Watchful Hosemasters (6, 32.3 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.