Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-12-11, Rochester War Memorial were:
Character Zero (31, 4.2 shows)
Taste (29, 8.7 shows)
Ghost (25, 4.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (21, 6.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (21, 6.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (20, 5.4 shows)
Down with Disease (19, 4.2 shows)
Dirt (18, 13.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (18, 6.9 shows)
David Bowie (18, 5.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (18, 7.5 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (17, 19.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (16, 9.1 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (15, 21.4 shows)
Billy Breathes (15, 22.4 shows)
Water in the Sky (15, 11.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (14, 5.2 shows)
Free (14, 5.3 shows)
NICU (14, 8.2 shows)
When the Circus Comes (13, 13.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 7 shows)
Poor Heart (12, 13.1 shows)
Ya Mar (12, 10.6 shows)
Waste (12, 11.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 8.4 shows)
Frankenstein (11, 18 shows)
Sparkle (11, 12.1 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (10, 83.8 shows)
Hello My Baby (10, 40.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (9, 18.3 shows)
Vultures (9, 20.5 shows)
Wilson (8, 6.9 shows)
Cities (8, 10.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 9.7 shows)
Uncle Pen (8, 45.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 54% of the actual 13-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.