Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-12-06, The Palace of Auburn Hills were:
Theme from the Bottom (25, 6.6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (19, 18 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (19, 24 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (17, 4.5 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (17, 19.7 shows)
Water in the Sky (15, 11.8 shows)
Billy Breathes (15, 22.4 shows)
Free (14, 5.3 shows)
Maze (14, 6.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (14, 4.7 shows)
NICU (14, 8.2 shows)
When the Circus Comes (13, 13.2 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 18 shows)
Poor Heart (12, 13.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 5 shows)
Waste (12, 11.2 shows)
Piper (12, 4.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 8.4 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (10, 83.8 shows)
Cavern (10, 6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.2 shows)
Reba (10, 7.6 shows)
Hello My Baby (10, 40.2 shows)
Twist (10, 5.4 shows)
Scent of a Mule (9, 18.3 shows)
Vultures (9, 20.5 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.7 shows)
Swept Away (8, 47.9 shows)
Steep (8, 47.9 shows)
Train Song (8, 22.4 shows)
Cities (8, 10.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 9.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5 shows)
Uncle Pen (8, 45.7 shows)
Llama (7, 15.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.