Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-08-17, Loring Commerce Centre were:
Down with Disease (27, 4.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (26, 6.5 shows)
David Bowie (24, 5.4 shows)
Waste (23, 10.3 shows)
Swept Away (20, 31.5 shows)
Steep (20, 31.5 shows)
Maze (20, 6.5 shows)
Reba (19, 7.3 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (17, 24.8 shows)
Cavern (16, 5.9 shows)
Hello My Baby (15, 33.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (15, 8.2 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (15, 5.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (15, 16.5 shows)
Dirt (14, 13.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 4.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (14, 7.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (14, 7.5 shows)
Divided Sky (13, 7.6 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (13, 61.2 shows)
NICU (13, 8.3 shows)
Tweezer (12, 5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 5 shows)
A Day in the Life (11, 23.1 shows)
Uncle Pen (11, 40 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (11, 14.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (11, 25.4 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 13.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.6 shows)
Talk (9, 80.1 shows)
Rift (9, 8.8 shows)
It's Ice (9, 15.3 shows)
Piper (9, 5 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Guyute (8, 9.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.