Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-08-13, Star Lake Amphitheatre were:
Chalk Dust Torture (33, 3.7 shows)
Stash (28, 5.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (27, 5.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (26, 6.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (25, 7.2 shows)
Waste (24, 10.2 shows)
Free (23, 5.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (22, 6.7 shows)
Julius (21, 7 shows)
Poor Heart (20, 11.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (20, 4.5 shows)
Ya Mar (18, 10 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (18, 5.1 shows)
Hello My Baby (17, 31.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (15, 7.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (15, 7.6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (15, 18.6 shows)
Tweezer (14, 4.9 shows)
Divided Sky (14, 7.6 shows)
NICU (14, 8.3 shows)
Train Song (14, 18.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (14, 7 shows)
Frankenstein (14, 16.6 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (13, 61.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 4.9 shows)
A Day in the Life (12, 22.7 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 7.8 shows)
Uncle Pen (11, 40.2 shows)
Talk (10, 74.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.6 shows)
Jam (10, 26.1 shows)
It's Ice (10, 15.1 shows)
Llama (10, 15.1 shows)
Possum (9, 4.6 shows)
Gumbo (9, 11.7 shows)
The Lizards (9, 15.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.