Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-08-06, Riverport Amphitheater were:
Chalk Dust Torture (33, 3.7 shows)
Stash (28, 5.4 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (27, 15.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (27, 5.9 shows)
David Bowie (25, 5.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (25, 6.5 shows)
Waste (25, 10.2 shows)
Free (24, 5.2 shows)
Reba (21, 7.2 shows)
Poor Heart (21, 11.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (21, 8.6 shows)
Swept Away (19, 31.8 shows)
Steep (19, 31.8 shows)
Billy Breathes (19, 19.8 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (18, 4.7 shows)
My Soul (18, 11 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (17, 5.2 shows)
AC/DC Bag (16, 7.4 shows)
Cavern (16, 6 shows)
Scent of a Mule (16, 16.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (16, 7.5 shows)
Train Song (15, 18.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (14, 7 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (14, 18.7 shows)
NICU (13, 8.3 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 17.5 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.8 shows)
A Day in the Life (13, 22.3 shows)
Possum (11, 4.6 shows)
Uncle Pen (11, 40.3 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (11, 14.2 shows)
Llama (11, 15 shows)
Jam (10, 26.2 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (10, 25.6 shows)
Talk (10, 74.9 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (10, 22.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.