Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-08-02, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
Down with Disease (29, 4.1 shows)
Waste (26, 10.1 shows)
Harry Hood (26, 4 shows)
Reba (22, 7.1 shows)
Poor Heart (22, 11.7 shows)
Julius (20, 7 shows)
Billy Breathes (19, 19.8 shows)
Simple (18, 6.7 shows)
Hello My Baby (18, 30 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (18, 5.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (18, 5.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (17, 7.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (17, 7.3 shows)
Scent of a Mule (17, 15.9 shows)
Cavern (17, 5.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (16, 8.1 shows)
Train Song (16, 18.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (15, 7 shows)
Divided Sky (15, 7.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (15, 5.1 shows)
Wilson (14, 6.7 shows)
Tweezer (14, 4.9 shows)
A Day in the Life (14, 21.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
Frankenstein (13, 16.7 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (13, 20.2 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (13, 58.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (12, 21.9 shows)
It's Ice (11, 14.8 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (11, 25 shows)
Talk (11, 70.1 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (11, 14.2 shows)
Sweet Adeline (11, 65.7 shows)
Llama (11, 15 shows)
Rift (11, 8.8 shows)
The Lizards (10, 15.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.