Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-07-26, South Park Meadows were:
Prince Caspian (26, 6.4 shows)
Waste (25, 10.1 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (25, 15.9 shows)
Free (23, 5.2 shows)
David Bowie (23, 5.4 shows)
Reba (22, 7.2 shows)
Poor Heart (22, 11.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (19, 4.7 shows)
Sparkle (19, 10.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (18, 5.2 shows)
Swept Away (18, 31.9 shows)
Steep (18, 31.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (18, 5.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (17, 7.5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (17, 15.9 shows)
Train Song (16, 18.1 shows)
Cavern (16, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.9 shows)
Funky Bitch (15, 7 shows)
Divided Sky (15, 7.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (14, 21.9 shows)
Wilson (14, 6.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 17.2 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (12, 58.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (12, 21.9 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (12, 24.5 shows)
Sweet Adeline (11, 65.8 shows)
Rift (11, 8.8 shows)
Llama (11, 15 shows)
It's Ice (11, 14.8 shows)
Talk (11, 70.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (10, 12.5 shows)
The Horse (10, 15 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (10, 14.2 shows)
The Lizards (10, 15.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.