Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-02-22, Teatro Olimpico were:
Sparkle (22, 10.4 shows)
Poor Heart (22, 11.1 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (21, 6.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (19, 15.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (18, 7.5 shows)
Hello My Baby (17, 25.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (17, 7.9 shows)
Simple (17, 6.7 shows)
Divided Sky (17, 7.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (16, 20.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (15, 6.9 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 5 shows)
It's Ice (15, 14.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 5 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (12, 24.4 shows)
Llama (11, 14.7 shows)
Rift (11, 8.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (11, 8.1 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (11, 53.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.1 shows)
Life on Mars? (10, 71.5 shows)
Fee (10, 21.9 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (10, 14.3 shows)
Possum (10, 4.7 shows)
The Horse (9, 15.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (9, 12.6 shows)
The Star-Spangled Banner (8, 51 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 17.3 shows)
Talk (8, 71.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 9.7 shows)
Fire (8, 32.5 shows)
Strange Design (7, 26.8 shows)
Guyute (7, 9.8 shows)
Loving Cup (7, 7.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 17.3 shows)
Harpua (7, 71.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.