Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-02-17, Paradiso were:
Hello My Baby (17, 25.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (17, 7.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (16, 20.6 shows)
Divided Sky (16, 7.5 shows)
Train Song (15, 18.2 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 5 shows)
Wilson (12, 6.8 shows)
Rift (11, 8.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.1 shows)
The Lizards (10, 15.5 shows)
Llama (10, 14.7 shows)
Fee (10, 21.9 shows)
Possum (10, 4.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 8.1 shows)
Life on Mars? (10, 71.5 shows)
The Horse (9, 15.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (9, 12.6 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (9, 14.3 shows)
Fire (8, 32.5 shows)
The Curtain (8, 44.7 shows)
The Star-Spangled Banner (8, 51 shows)
Talk (8, 71.5 shows)
Gumbo (8, 11.8 shows)
Amazing Grace (7, 153.1 shows)
Harpua (7, 71.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 17.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 9.7 shows)
Rocky Top (7, 17.3 shows)
Strange Design (7, 26.8 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 15.8 shows)
I Didn't Know (6, 20.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 11.5 shows)
Guyute (6, 9.8 shows)
Foam (6, 20.2 shows)
The Sloth (6, 25.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.