Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-12-31, FleetCenter were:
Sample in a Jar (25, 5.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (22, 3.7 shows)
Sparkle (20, 10.4 shows)
Down with Disease (20, 4.1 shows)
Character Zero (20, 4.1 shows)
Stash (18, 5.4 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (18, 15.5 shows)
Harry Hood (18, 4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (18, 4.6 shows)
Hello My Baby (17, 25.5 shows)
Waste (17, 10 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (16, 7.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (16, 20.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (16, 6.5 shows)
Divided Sky (15, 7.5 shows)
Simple (15, 6.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (15, 5.2 shows)
Julius (15, 7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (14, 8.6 shows)
Steep (12, 32.5 shows)
Swept Away (12, 32.5 shows)
Wilson (11, 6.8 shows)
Fee (10, 21.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 8.1 shows)
Life on Mars? (10, 71.5 shows)
Sweet Adeline (9, 56.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 5.1 shows)
Fire (8, 32.5 shows)
The Curtain (8, 44.7 shows)
The Horse (8, 15.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 12.6 shows)
Amazing Grace (6, 153.1 shows)
I Didn't Know (6, 20.6 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 9.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 11.5 shows)
Foam (6, 20.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 85% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.