Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-11-15, Kiel Center were:
Hold Your Head Up (26, 18.6 shows)
Poor Heart (26, 10.4 shows)
David Bowie (23, 5.3 shows)
Harry Hood (21, 4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (17, 7.9 shows)
Mike's Song (17, 4.9 shows)
Simple (17, 6.6 shows)
Rift (15, 8.6 shows)
The Lizards (14, 14.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (14, 8.5 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.8 shows)
Possum (13, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
Fee (13, 20.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 5 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 6.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (12, 9.4 shows)
Strange Design (11, 23.9 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (10, 109.8 shows)
Fire (10, 28.9 shows)
Billy Breathes (10, 19.3 shows)
The Horse (9, 15 shows)
Silent in the Morning (9, 12.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 11.3 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 16.6 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 9.1 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 16.4 shows)
NICU (8, 8.4 shows)
Foam (7, 20 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (7, 52.3 shows)
Rocky Top (7, 17.2 shows)
The Sloth (7, 24.4 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (7, 109.8 shows)
Guyute (7, 9.7 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (6, 34.3 shows)
Horn (6, 12.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 30% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.