Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-11-09, The Palace of Auburn Hills were:
Sparkle (22, 9.8 shows)
Ya Mar (22, 9.1 shows)
Hello My Baby (22, 22.1 shows)
Tweezer (21, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (21, 4 shows)
Cavern (19, 5.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (18, 18.1 shows)
Julius (18, 6.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (18, 7.2 shows)
It's Ice (16, 13.8 shows)
Divided Sky (16, 7.4 shows)
Fee (15, 20.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (15, 5.6 shows)
Possum (15, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 5 shows)
The Lizards (13, 14.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 9.3 shows)
Strange Design (12, 23.5 shows)
Sweet Adeline (12, 44.1 shows)
Llama (11, 14.1 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (11, 100.3 shows)
Fire (11, 28.3 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (11, 13.5 shows)
Life on Mars? (10, 61.3 shows)
Silent in the Morning (10, 12.5 shows)
The Horse (10, 14.9 shows)
Fluffhead (9, 9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (9, 11.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 4.7 shows)
NICU (8, 8.4 shows)
Uncle Pen (8, 32.4 shows)
Foam (8, 19.7 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 16.7 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (8, 100.3 shows)
Gumbo (8, 11.6 shows)
I Didn't Know (7, 20.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 28% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.