Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-11-06, Knoxville Civic Coliseum were:
Hold Your Head Up (29, 17.8 shows)
Poor Heart (26, 10.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (24, 3.7 shows)
David Bowie (23, 5.3 shows)
Hello My Baby (23, 21.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (21, 13.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (19, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (17, 4.9 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (17, 14.5 shows)
It's Ice (17, 13.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (17, 7.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (15, 5.6 shows)
Rift (15, 8.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (14, 8.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (14, 9.3 shows)
Strange Design (13, 23 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 5 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.8 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (12, 92.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 5.1 shows)
The Curtain (12, 34.5 shows)
Llama (11, 14.2 shows)
The Horse (10, 14.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (10, 12.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 8.2 shows)
Fluffhead (9, 9.1 shows)
Train Song (8, 18.7 shows)
Gumbo (8, 11.6 shows)
Guyute (8, 9.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 16.7 shows)
Uncle Pen (8, 32.5 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (8, 100.5 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (8, 24 shows)
Foam (8, 19.7 shows)
Rocky Top (7, 17 shows)
I Didn't Know (7, 20.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.