Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-08-10, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Sample in a Jar (31, 5.4 shows)
David Bowie (26, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (25, 3.7 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (23, 12.7 shows)
Maze (23, 6.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (22, 13 shows)
Reba (21, 6.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (20, 7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (19, 7.6 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Sweet Adeline (17, 35.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (16, 5.5 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Uncle Pen (14, 28.3 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Fee (13, 19.2 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (12, 13.1 shows)
Llama (12, 13.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (11, 7 shows)
Fire (11, 26.9 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (9, 11.2 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.7 shows)
The Horse (8, 14.7 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 15.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 12.4 shows)
The Fog That Surrounds (8, 141.3 shows)
I Didn't Know (8, 19.5 shows)
NICU (8, 8.4 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 16.6 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (7, 15.3 shows)
Lifeboy (7, 41.9 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.