Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-08-02, Wolf Mountain Amphitheatre were:
Stash (26, 5.2 shows)
Free (25, 5 shows)
David Bowie (25, 5.2 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (23, 12.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (22, 6.3 shows)
Maze (22, 6.1 shows)
A Day in the Life (22, 16.1 shows)
Reba (20, 6.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (19, 7.1 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (18, 7.6 shows)
Strange Design (17, 19.8 shows)
Divided Sky (17, 7.2 shows)
Tweezer (17, 4.9 shows)
Sweet Adeline (16, 35.3 shows)
Rift (15, 8.4 shows)
Possum (15, 4.7 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
The Lizards (14, 13.8 shows)
Simple (14, 6.5 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (14, 9.2 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Uncle Pen (14, 28.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 6.3 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Fee (12, 19.2 shows)
Llama (12, 13.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 5.1 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (12, 13.1 shows)
Wilson (12, 6.7 shows)
Fire (11, 26.9 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
Amazing Grace (11, 66.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 24% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.