Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-07-21, The Forum were:
Hold Your Head Up (29, 16.1 shows)
Poor Heart (25, 9.7 shows)
Free (24, 5 shows)
Sparkle (22, 9.3 shows)
Cavern (21, 5.7 shows)
Maze (21, 6.1 shows)
A Day in the Life (21, 16.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (21, 4.5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (20, 13 shows)
Harry Hood (19, 4 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (19, 6 shows)
Reba (19, 6.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (18, 7 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (18, 7.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (17, 7.6 shows)
Strange Design (17, 19.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (16, 5.1 shows)
Tweezer (16, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 5 shows)
Possum (15, 4.7 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Uncle Pen (14, 28.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (14, 5.5 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Rift (14, 8.4 shows)
The Lizards (14, 13.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 6.3 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Simple (13, 6.5 shows)
Wilson (12, 6.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 5.1 shows)
Fire (11, 26.9 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 5 shows)
Fee (11, 19.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.