Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-07-13, Dour Festival were:
Poor Heart (24, 9.7 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (22, 12.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (18, 7 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Strange Design (17, 19.8 shows)
Julius (16, 6.7 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Sweet Adeline (15, 35.3 shows)
Rift (14, 8.4 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Possum (14, 4.7 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 9.2 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Uncle Pen (13, 28.3 shows)
Simple (13, 6.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 5.1 shows)
Fee (11, 19.2 shows)
Amazing Grace (11, 66.5 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (11, 13.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 5 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
Fire (10, 26.9 shows)
The Curtain (10, 34.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 11.2 shows)
The Fog That Surrounds (8, 141.3 shows)
Life on Mars? (8, 49.1 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 15.9 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 16.4 shows)
Lifeboy (7, 41.9 shows)
Dog Faced Boy (7, 39 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 4.7 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (7, 37.7 shows)
Kung (7, 47.1 shows)
Gumbo (7, 11.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 8.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 20% of the actual 10-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.