Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-07-06, Piazza del Duomo were:
Hold Your Head Up (24, 16.1 shows)
Free (23, 5 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (21, 12.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (19, 16.1 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Maze (18, 6.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (18, 4.5 shows)
Cavern (17, 5.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (17, 6.3 shows)
Strange Design (17, 19.8 shows)
Julius (16, 6.7 shows)
Reba (16, 6.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (16, 7.1 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4 shows)
Hello My Baby (16, 19.8 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Tweezer (14, 4.9 shows)
Possum (14, 4.7 shows)
Divided Sky (14, 7.2 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (14, 5.1 shows)
It's Ice (14, 13 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Rift (14, 8.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 5.5 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 9.2 shows)
The Lizards (13, 13.8 shows)
Simple (13, 6.5 shows)
Mike's Song (13, 5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 5.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (12, 6.3 shows)
Uncle Pen (12, 28.3 shows)
Amazing Grace (11, 66.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 5 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 83% of the actual 6-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.