Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1995-12-30, Madison Square Garden were:
Hold Your Head Up (37, 15 shows)
Sample in a Jar (29, 5.3 shows)
Acoustic Army (27, 42.7 shows)
Strange Design (27, 17 shows)
David Bowie (26, 5.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (24, 5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (22, 12.3 shows)
Cavern (22, 5.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (22, 7 shows)
Reba (22, 6.6 shows)
Divided Sky (20, 7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (20, 6.9 shows)
Simple (19, 6.4 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 55 shows)
It's Ice (18, 12.4 shows)
Mike's Song (18, 5 shows)
Amazing Grace (18, 48.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (17, 9 shows)
Ya Mar (17, 8.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (16, 6.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 5 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 82.4 shows)
Ha Ha Ha (13, 35 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.5 shows)
Mound (12, 25.6 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (12, 33 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 88.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (10, 12.1 shows)
The Horse (10, 14.2 shows)
Taste (10, 7.6 shows)
Dog Faced Boy (9, 37.2 shows)
If I Could (9, 33.9 shows)
Foam (8, 18.9 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 16.5 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (8, 15.2 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 16 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.