Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1993-04-22, The Agora Theatre were:
Reba (50, 5.6 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (45, 10.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (42, 5.7 shows)
All Things Reconsidered (41, 22.7 shows)
The Landlady (35, 24.2 shows)
My Sweet One (35, 15.8 shows)
The Lizards (29, 9.6 shows)
Cold as Ice (28, 80.7 shows)
The Curtain (21, 18.9 shows)
Paul and Silas (21, 34.6 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (20, 12 shows)
Terrapin (20, 50.1 shows)
Fast Enough for You (20, 18.6 shows)
Axilla (19, 12.9 shows)
Wilson (19, 6.6 shows)
Esther (19, 22.4 shows)
Harry Hood (18, 4.3 shows)
The Sloth (17, 18.6 shows)
Cracklin' Rosie (17, 40.4 shows)
Carolina (17, 41.5 shows)
Lengthwise (16, 45.4 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (14, 27.4 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (13, 22 shows)
Memories (12, 85.5 shows)
Tela (11, 25.5 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (10, 17.1 shows)
I Walk the Line (10, 145.3 shows)
Fire (10, 22.4 shows)
Contact (9, 18.9 shows)
Dinner and a Movie (9, 48.4 shows)
Take the 'A' Train (9, 121.1 shows)
Loving Cup (8, 9.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.2 shows)
Bold As Love (8, 26.9 shows)
Harpua (8, 44 shows)
Bike (8, 53.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 21% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.