Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-07-14, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Twist (17, 5.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 5.6 shows)
Carini (14, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 5.6 shows)
Fuego (13, 6.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 7.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 7.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 6.6 shows)
More (12, 6.1 shows)
Mercury (12, 6.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (12, 6.6 shows)
Down with Disease (12, 6.6 shows)
Possum (12, 6.6 shows)
Martian Monster (10, 7.9 shows)
Wilson (10, 7.9 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.9 shows)
What's the Use? (10, 7.9 shows)
Simple (10, 7.9 shows)
Soul Planet (9, 8.8 shows)
First Tube (8, 9.9 shows)
Maze (8, 11.3 shows)
555 (8, 9.9 shows)
Waste (8, 9.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 9.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 9.9 shows)
Rise/Come Together (7, 11.3 shows)
Roggae (7, 11.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (7, 11.3 shows)
Ocelot (7, 11.3 shows)
Farmhouse (7, 11.3 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 11.3 shows)
Death Don't Hurt Very Long (7, 9.9 shows)
Julius (7, 11.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 11.3 shows)
Reba (6, 13.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 11.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 22% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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