Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-07-14, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Twist (17, 5.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 6.4 shows)
Carini (14, 5.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 5.8 shows)
Fuego (13, 7.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 6.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 7.8 shows)
Mercury (12, 8.9 shows)
More (12, 7.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (12, 9.2 shows)
Down with Disease (12, 6.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 5.5 shows)
Possum (12, 6.1 shows)
Wilson (10, 9.2 shows)
Simple (10, 7.3 shows)
Martian Monster (10, 11.9 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.3 shows)
What's the Use? (10, 9.2 shows)
Soul Planet (9, 10.8 shows)
Maze (8, 8.3 shows)
555 (8, 11.3 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 12.5 shows)
Waste (8, 10.8 shows)
Ocelot (7, 13.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 9.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (7, 11.3 shows)
Roggae (7, 12.5 shows)
Julius (7, 14.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 13.8 shows)
Death Don't Hurt Very Long (7, 20.8 shows)
Rise/Come Together (7, 15.6 shows)
Farmhouse (7, 14.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 11.9 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 12.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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