Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-12-31, Madison Square Garden were:
Twist (10, 5.5 shows)
Character Zero (9, 5.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 7.5 shows)
Sand (8, 5.2 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 5.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 6.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 6.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 8.3 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.4 shows)
Steam (6, 6.4 shows)
Mercury (6, 5.9 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 9.2 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 7.5 shows)
Ocelot (5, 11.9 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.9 shows)
555 (5, 9.2 shows)
Piper (5, 9.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 10.4 shows)
Julius (5, 11.9 shows)
Simple (5, 8.3 shows)
Golden Age (5, 10.4 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 11.9 shows)
Bug (4, 11.9 shows)
Joy (4, 16.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 11.9 shows)
Miss You (4, 13.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 11.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 13.8 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 9.2 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 13.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10.4 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 13.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 13.8 shows)
Meatstick (4, 13.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (3, 20.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 54% of the actual 28-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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